When to go up in dumbbell weight, rep by rep

    Decide your next session from the last two. Linear or double progression sizes the jump by lift and plates, in lb or kg, plans six sessions ahead and counts the sessions to a goal weight.

    With dumbbells even the smallest jump is a big share of the weight: going from 25 to 27.5 lb adds 10%. That is why light dumbbell work usually runs on double progression: add reps inside a range first and move up only when every set reaches the top. The calculator below is filled with an example curl: 3 x 10-15 at 25 lb, and 15 reps in every set on the last two sessions. Press Calculate for the next weight and six sessions ahead, then put in your own range.

    Progressive Overload Calculator

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    Progressive overload, one session at a time: add weight, add reps or hold

    Five reps in every set on Monday, five again on Thursday, 225 lb on the squat bar. This progressive overload calculator turns those two results into the next session: go up, stay, repeat or reset. It runs linear progression (the weight rises after every good session) or double progression (reps first, then weight), sizes the jump by exercise type and the plates you own, in lb or kg, plans six sessions ahead and counts the sessions to a goal weight. Here the answer is 235 lb, a jump of 10 lb (4.4%).

    The stuck bar: too much, too soon, or never

    Most lifters know they should add weight over time. The trouble is the next session. Add 10 lb to a bench press after one lucky day and the following week ends at three reps. Wait for the perfect day and a 135 lb row stays 135 lb for two months. And the same jump means very different things: 5 lb is 11.1% of a 45 lb bar and 1.2% of a 405 lb deadlift.

    What the calculator decides instead

    It applies one published rule and states its own rules openly. The American College of Sports Medicine advises adding 2-10% to the load once you can do one or two reps more than the target on two consecutive sessions, less for small muscle groups and more for large ones.

    A jump sized to the lift. 5% for squats and deadlifts, 2.5% for presses and rows, 2% for isolation work, rounded to the plates you have and never below 2%.
    Two sessions, not one. With the session before filled in, one good day earns a confirmation, two earn the jump, and two misses earn a reset.
    A plan you can follow. Six sessions ahead, the tonnage of each, and the number of sessions and weeks to a goal weight if nothing goes wrong.

    From the training log to the next bar weight

    1. Type of progression - linear for a fixed rep target such as 3 x 5, double for a rep range such as 3 x 8-12.
    2. Type of exercise - lower-body compound, upper-body compound or isolation. It sets the jump: 5%, 2.5% or 2%.
    3. Units and working weight - lb or kg, and the weight of your working sets, warm-ups excluded. Decimals such as 102.5 are fine.
    4. Sets and reps - the number of working sets, the target reps (linear) or the bottom and top of the range (double).
    5. Reps in the weakest set - from the last session and, optionally, from the session before with the same weight. The weakest set decides, usually the last one.
    6. Smallest jump, goal weight, sessions per week - optional. Empty jump means 5 lb (2.5 lb for isolation) or 2.5 kg (1 kg). Then read the decision, the plan for the next session and the six-session table.

    Which answer you get, and when

    "Target" means the rep goal in linear progression and the top of the range in double progression. Every row below is a branch of the calculator.

    Last session Session before Decision
    target reachedtarget reached, or left emptygo up by the jump (double: back to the bottom of the range)
    target reachedbelow targetstay, one more session to confirm
    inside the range (double)anythingstay, aim for one more rep per set
    below the bottomat or above the bottom, or emptyrepeat the same weight
    below the bottombelow the bottomreset to about 90%, rounded down to your plates

    Seven lifts run through the rules

    Squat, linear 3 x 5 at 225 lb, both sessions 5 reps, goal 315 lb, 3 sessions a week.
    Go up to 235 lb (+10 lb, 4.4%). The goal arrives on session 9, about 3.0 weeks, if every session goes to plan.
    Bench press, linear 3 x 5 at 185 lb, last session 5 reps, the one before 4.
    Stay at 185 lb. One good day is not two; the jump of 5 lb (2.7%) waits for a confirmation.
    Bench press at 205 lb, weakest set 4 reps, no earlier result.
    Repeat 205 lb. A single miss does not take weight off the bar.
    The same bench, two misses: 3 reps after 4.
    Drop to 180 lb (205 x 0.9 = 184.5, rounded down to 5 lb) and build up again in 5 lb steps.
    Row, double 3 x 8-12 at 135 lb, both sessions 12 reps, goal 155 lb, twice a week.
    Go up to 140 lb and back to 8 reps. Each weight then takes five sessions (8, 9, 10, 11, 12 reps), so 155 lb comes on session 16, about 8.0 weeks.
    Dumbbell curl, double 3 x 10-15 at 25 lb, both sessions 15 reps.
    Go up to 27.5 lb, a jump of 10.0%. Small weights make even the smallest jump large in percent, which is why double progression suits them.
    Deadlift in kilograms, 1 x 5 at 140 kg, both sessions 5 reps, goal 180 kg, twice a week.
    Go up to 147.5 kg (+7.5 kg, 5.4%). The first session at or above the goal is session 6, at 185 kg.

    Default jumps for common bar weights

    What the calculator adds with the default smallest jump (5 lb, or 2.5 lb for isolation). The 2% floor is why isolation work at 135 lb gets 5 lb rather than 2.5 lb.

    Working weight Lower-body compound Upper-body compound Isolation
    45 lb+5 lb (11.1%)+5 lb (11.1%)+2.5 lb (5.6%)
    95 lb+5 lb (5.3%)+5 lb (5.3%)+2.5 lb (2.6%)
    135 lb+5 lb (3.7%)+5 lb (3.7%)+5 lb (3.7%)
    185 lb+10 lb (5.4%)+5 lb (2.7%)+5 lb (2.7%)
    225 lb+10 lb (4.4%)+5 lb (2.2%)+5 lb (2.2%)
    315 lb+15 lb (4.8%)+10 lb (3.2%)+7.5 lb (2.4%)
    405 lb+20 lb (4.9%)+10 lb (2.5%)+10 lb (2.5%)

    In kilograms the defaults are 2.5 kg (1 kg for isolation): 100 kg gets +5 kg on a squat, +2.5 kg on a bench press and +2 kg on a machine. If you own fractional plates, enter the smallest jump, for example 2.5 lb, and a 95 lb overhead press moves to 97.5 lb instead of 100.

    Eleven good sessions under each method

    The two methods spend the same good sessions in very different ways. A linear 3 x 5 bench press at 185 lb, with every session made, adds 5 lb each time: the next session is at 190 lb and the first session at 240 lb is session 11. A double-progression row at 3 x 8-12 that has just earned its first jump from 135 lb to 140 lb needs five sessions per weight, so its first session at 150 lb is also session 11. Eleven sessions, 55 lb on one bar against 15 lb on the other.

    That gap is the whole point of double progression, not a flaw in it. Reps carry the progress while the weight waits, so the lifter keeps beating the log without asking the joints for a heavier bar every few days. And when a linear lift starts missing, which usually happens after a few months, switching that lift to a rep range keeps the "add something every session" habit alive at a pace the body can follow. Enter your own numbers with a goal weight and the calculator counts these sessions for you, from the same sequence as its six-session table.

    Questions from lifters about adding weight

    How much weight should I add each week?
    It depends on the lift more than on the week. With the ACSM range of 2-10%, a 225 lb squat gets 10 lb per good session and a 225 lb bench press 5 lb. On a three-day linear plan that can be 30 lb a week on the squat early on, which is exactly why it cannot last for long.
    Double progression or linear progression?
    Linear progression fits low fixed reps (3-8) and lifters who still add weight almost every session. Double progression fits rep ranges, accessory lifts and light dumbbells, where one plate is a large percentage of the weight. The calculator warns when a linear target is above 8 reps.
    Why does the weakest set decide?
    Because the plan is a number of sets at one weight. If the first set has 5 reps and the third has 3, the weight has not been beaten yet. Counting the best set would move you up too early.
    Where does the 10% reset come from?
    From common practice in linear programs, not from a study, and the result says so. Taking about a tenth off after two failed sessions gives a few easy sessions to build momentum again. If misses keep coming, a deload week may be the better answer.
    How is this different from the Strength Progress Calculator?
    That tool looks back: it compares two logged sets weeks apart and tells you how fast you have gained. This one looks forward: it tells you what to put on the bar next session and how many sessions a goal will take.
    Is the session count to my goal realistic?
    It is the best case, with no missed session. Linear gains slow down after a few months, and the calculator warns when the count goes past 24 sessions in a row. Treat the number as a minimum, not a date.

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    Calculator verified by the LiczGrupa.pl team

    Content, formulas and results have been reviewed for accuracy and relevance by our team of specialists.

    Patryk Matyjasik

    Reviewed by: Patryk Matyjasik